Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +12 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -22.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -24.8 (-12.8) | 143.6 (-23.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MINN -20.4 (-8.4) | 140.2 (-20.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MINN -21.1 (-9.1) | 143.3 (-23.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -23.9 (-11.9) | 143.5 (-23.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | MINN 58 – 55 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | -10.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#150) | -2.34 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#153) | -3.11 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#233) | 0.394 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 39.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 41.9% |
Game Analysis
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