Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -600 BUCK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -9.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -12.4 (-2.4) | 136.6 (+15.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -7.7 (+2.3) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -8.2 (+1.8) | 136.3 (+15.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -8.5 (+1.5) | 134.8 (+17.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | BUCK 80 – 76 RICH |
| Dec 22, 2021 | RICH 81 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#120) | -2.1 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#219) | -0.70 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#167) | -0.88 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#193) | 0.441 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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