Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -2800 BUCK +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +31 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -18.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -17.0 (+14.0) | 152.3 (-21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -16.2 (+14.8) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -15.5 (+15.5) | 151.4 (-20.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -15.2 (+15.8) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | BUCK 80 – 76 RICH |
| Dec 22, 2022 | RICH 81 – 71 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#96) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#78) | -1.86 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#72) | -2.31 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#59) | 0.389 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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