Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK +145 RICH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -21.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -13.0 (-9.0) | 142.8 (+13.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -13.6 (-9.6) | 140.7 (+15.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -10.9 (-6.9) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -8.8 (-4.8) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | RICH 81 – 71 BUCK |
| Dec 22, 2021 | RICH 81 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#99) | -8.5 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#58) | -2.77 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#53) | -4.64 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#119) | 0.188 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 14.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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