Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -900 DETM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +18 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -9.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -9.8 (+8.2) | 155.6 (-29.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -9.2 (+8.8) | 157.2 (-31.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -8.6 (+9.4) | 157.3 (-31.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -8.3 (+9.7) | 155.3 (-29.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | CIN 93 – 61 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | 0.6 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#162) | 0.10 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#168) | 0.35 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#161) | 0.505 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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