Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -8000 DETM +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +32 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -20.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -13.0 (+19.0) | 139.4 (+14.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -16.5 (+15.5) | 137.3 (+16.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | CIN 72 – 54 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 16-5 | 1-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#181) | -6.3 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#61) | -0.38 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#102) | -0.61 (#236) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 53.2% |
| 3PT% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 3.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 59.6% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 32.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 12.0% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 8.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 82.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.7% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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