Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -2400 UL +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +28 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -18.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -17.2 (+10.8) | 149.7 (+22.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -18.7 (+9.3) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -16.5 (+11.5) | 148.8 (+23.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -16.0 (+12.0) | 148.8 (+23.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 14-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#9) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#28) | 1.60 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#19) | 1.66 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#43) | 0.556 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.