Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -1000 UIW +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -10.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -6.0 (-1.0) | 139.1 (+13.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -6.6 (-1.6) | 139.6 (+13.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -6.4 (-1.4) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -6.3 (-1.3) | 139.3 (+13.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#284) | -11.9 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#323) | -1.04 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#324) | -1.79 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#317) | 0.443 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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