Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UTU -1000 LIN +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +31 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -16.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -9.8 (+21.2) | 143.8 (+15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -12.7 (+18.3) | 147.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -12.2 (+18.8) | 148.0 (+11.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -11.8 (+19.2) | 145.0 (+14.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2023 | UTU 73 – 66 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#149) | -10.6 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#133) | -2.25 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#150) | -2.85 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#121) | 0.393 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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