Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +150 UTU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -2.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -0.0 (-7.0) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.8 (-9.8) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -3.4 (-10.4) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.7 (-9.7) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | UTU 95 – 64 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-13 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#308) | -3.4 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#152) | 0.51 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#189) | 0.41 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#109) | 0.467 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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