Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | MD -4000 SPU +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +30 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MD -24.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -20.7 (+9.3) | 131.5 (-11.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -15.3 (+14.7) | 130.8 (-10.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -19.2 (+10.8) | 132.7 (-12.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -20.9 (+9.1) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | MD 90 – 57 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#29) | -7.8 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#32) | -1.02 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#26) | -1.40 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#32) | 0.436 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 41.1% |
Game Analysis
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