And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 64 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Chicago State @ Iowa State +23.2 132.0 90% 48–79 ✓
Davidson @ Alabama +5.8 144.7 66% 79–78 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +5.0 132.1 77% 58–71 ✓
Morehead State @ IU Indianapolis -14.4 124.0 13% 80–52 ✓
Presbyterian @ Furman +13.5 143.2 86% 61–75 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ High Point -0.9 140.2 43% 52–55 ✗
Fresno State @ Utah +4.8 131.7 73% 50–55 ✓
Winthrop @ Mississippi State +7.8 139.4 80% 63–84 ✓
Elon @ Arkansas +19.9 149.4 90% 55–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Cincinnati +17.7 134.2 87% 67–76 ✓
American University @ George Mason +15.5 144.2 89% 44–67 ✓
Bradley @ Sam Houston -3.3 131.8 37% 87–61 ✓
Howard @ Harvard +6.6 148.6 73% 69–77 ✓
Southern @ Dayton +15.4 137.1 88% 60–69 ✓
UAlbany @ Lehigh +0.7 133.1 41% 68–52 ✗
Wright State @ NC State +10.3 155.9 84% 84–70 ✗
App State @ North Carolina +12.9 137.8 87% 50–70 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Bellarmine +0.6 132.2 46% 71–57 ✗
Manhattan @ The Citadel +5.1 149.4 67% 77–74 ✗
Marshall @ Toledo +7.6 154.7 76% 63–95 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Ball State +12.2 139.8 89% 55–75 ✓
Michigan State @ Oakland -8.5 145.0 25% 90–78 ✓
Delaware @ Iona +6.1 145.8 70% 72–83 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ South Alabama +11.6 137.2 86% 69–84 ✓
Air Force @ Tarleton State +7.6 118.6 72% 45–67 ✓
Grambling @ TCU +19.7 138.4 90% 55–90 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Iowa +26.3 155.0 91% 62–93 ✓
McNeese @ Kansas State +16.4 139.4 89% 59–74 ✓
UConn @ Marquette -4.3 149.9 30% 78–70 ✓
Portland State @ Utah State +21.2 147.9 90% 62–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ UTEP +11.6 139.1 85% 61–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ New Mexico +2.6 153.0 58% 54–68 ✓
Utah Valley @ Washington -2.5 142.2 46% 68–52 ✓
Pepperdine @ Oregon +13.2 141.6 86% 59–68 ✓
Georgia State @ Georgia Tech +5.7 139.8 71% 62–72 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ California Baptist +9.5 145.8 83% 68–84 ✓
Santa Clara @ San José State -4.4 144.9 38% 79–57 ✓
Nicholls @ Oregon State +0.7 140.8 53% 61–83 ✓
Hartford @ Sacred Heart +4.0 144.8 56% 78–71 ✗
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington -3.2 130.1 44% 58–65 ✗
William & Mary @ Valparaiso +11.4 133.9 86% 66–88 ✓
Towson @ Navy +5.3 130.3 71% 69–52 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Notre Dame +10.6 139.0 84% 73–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas +27.0 135.9 91% 48–68 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Texas Tech +16.2 144.0 89% 46–78 ✓
Colgate @ Vermont +7.8 135.6 77% 68–78 ✓
Stony Brook @ Florida +16.8 141.8 88% 62–87 ✓
Delaware State @ Temple +20.4 138.0 91% 48–85 ✓
Army @ South Carolina +10.2 139.1 81% 75–105 ✓
Liberty @ Northern Iowa -0.6 129.7 45% 76–74 ✓
Idaho State @ UC Santa Barbara +19.0 129.1 89% 43–56 ✓
Bucknell @ Richmond +17.0 152.3 88% 50–81 ✓
St. Thomas @ Denver -2.6 144.3 48% 74–75 ✗
Western Carolina @ Charlotte +5.7 151.6 75% 82–98 ✓
Green Bay @ Minnesota +18.5 134.0 90% 56–72 ✓
Portland @ UC Davis +9.5 142.9 82% 65–60 ✗
Southern Illinois @ San Francisco +10.7 129.8 85% 52–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Stanford -5.5 139.6 34% 63–66 ✗
Murray State @ Auburn +11.0 148.5 82% 58–71 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +13.1 148.4 85% 60–95 ✓
Chicago State @ Drake +20.7 138.0 90% 50–87 ✓
Troy @ Mercer +9.3 142.3 80% 69–65 ✗
Youngstown State @ West Virginia +15.6 132.7 87% 52–82 ✓
Pacific @ California +8.8 130.5 78% 53–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.