Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–9 on winners spread MAE 9.5 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ Tennessee +2.1 151.6 70% 73–77 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Canisius -1.9 141.9 48% 90–97 ✗
Sam Houston @ North Carolina Central -1.3 138.6 40% 68–51 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Chattanooga +12.8 142.2 85% 65–77 ✓
Robert Morris @ Saint Francis +9.6 149.4 75% 75–67 ✗
Charleston @ Old Dominion +2.5 141.7 48% 82–80 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Indiana +19.9 142.9 89% 61–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Wichita State +17.0 146.5 89% 66–102 ✓
North Alabama @ UCF +17.8 134.5 88% 64–75 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Georgia +0.7 139.2 51% 86–84 ✗
Clemson @ Virginia +2.9 121.1 64% 67–50 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Marist +9.4 134.4 85% 45–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth +5.8 145.9 69% 77–71 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ UAB +26.9 150.3 91% 58–100 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Nebraska +8.2 151.2 81% 74–88 ✓
Texas State @ Houston +16.5 133.8 89% 47–80 ✓
Lipscomb @ LSU +27.6 146.1 91% 60–95 ✓
Boise State @ Washington State +6.0 133.2 71% 58–52 ✗
Alcorn State @ Oklahoma +21.7 135.0 90% 48–72 ✓
Longwood @ Abilene Christian +10.5 144.0 84% 58–74 ✓
North Dakota @ North Dakota State +11.8 137.8 87% 76–86 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +8.8 159.2 83% 76–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha -10.9 152.6 21% 78–84 ✗
Kansas City @ South Dakota +0.9 131.0 63% 68–57 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +6.6 140.1 80% 65–76 ✓
UC San Diego @ San Diego State +13.7 129.9 86% 57–78 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +13.7 142.7 85% 63–88 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +12.6 153.5 86% 59–87 ✓
Bradley @ UTEP -1.0 132.8 44% 73–66 ✓
BYU @ South Florida -12.9 129.9 12% 54–39 ✓
San Diego @ UNLV +4.5 132.0 75% 57–80 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +5.4 130.7 72% 58–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Hawai'i -2.9 136.1 36% 68–54 ✓
Wagner @ Fairfield -1.4 131.5 40% 63–50 ✓
Liberty @ Stanford +2.8 132.0 64% 76–79 ✓
Fresno State @ Weber State -1.2 131.2 44% 69–43 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Wyoming +7.5 135.2 76% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.