Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | HAW +230 VAN -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +14 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -1.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -2.9 (-11.1) | 136.1 (-14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -1.7 (-12.3) | 137.8 (-15.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -2.0 (-12.0) | 138.9 (-16.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -2.9 (-11.1) | 139.7 (-17.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#176) | 5.6 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#240) | 0.27 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#232) | 0.48 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#260) | 0.491 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.