Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -8.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -5.8 (-11.8) | 145.9 (+2.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -8.5 (-14.5) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -8.4 (-14.4) | 149.9 (-1.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.8 (-13.8) | 148.2 (-0.2) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#51) | 4.7 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#30) | 1.08 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#34) | 1.44 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#28) | 0.585 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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