Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -10.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -11.1 (+0.9) | 144.1 (-2.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -12.8 (-0.8) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -10.2 (+1.8) | 147.4 (-5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -10.0 (+2.0) | 148.4 (-6.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2025 | UTC 109 – 103 MTSU |
| Dec 16, 2022 | UTC 82 – 73 MTSU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | UTC 80 – 70 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#50) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#53) | 0.83 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#56) | 0.83 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#38) | 0.546 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.