Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU -125 UTC +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +6 | 212 | Lost |
| Massey | MTSU -4.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (+56.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -4.3 (-10.3) | 154.0 (+58.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -2.1 (-8.1) | 150.0 (+62.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -3.8 (-9.8) | 150.3 (+61.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -4.0 (-10.0) | 152.3 (+59.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2022 | UTC 82 – 73 MTSU |
| Dec 23, 2021 | UTC 77 – 65 MTSU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | UTC 80 – 70 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#114) | 2.6 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#82) | 0.85 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#100) | 0.99 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#55) | 0.554 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.