Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | OU -10000 ALCN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +24 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | OU -20.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -21.7 (+2.3) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -18.1 (+5.9) | 137.5 (-17.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -20.8 (+3.2) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -22.3 (+1.7) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2025 | OU 72 – 53 ALCN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | OU 94 – 78 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#38) | -5.8 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#47) | -1.87 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#43) | -2.39 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#59) | 0.457 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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