Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | OU -25.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.0 (-47.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -24.4 (-5.4) | 152.8 (-27.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -20.9 (-1.9) | 155.7 (-30.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -25.0 (-6.0) | 157.4 (-32.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -27.0 (-8.0) | 157.1 (-32.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | OU 94 – 78 ALCN |
| Dec 23, 2021 | OU 72 – 48 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#58) | -10.5 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#155) | -2.08 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#145) | -3.30 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#209) | 0.442 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 55.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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