Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +16 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | OU -32.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -25.4 (-9.4) | 142.9 (+29.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -23.1 (-7.1) | 142.9 (+29.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -28.9 (-12.9) | 142.6 (+29.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -28.7 (-12.7) | 138.9 (+33.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2025 | OU 72 – 53 ALCN |
| Dec 23, 2021 | OU 72 – 48 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#45) | -16.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#12) | -2.84 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.42 (#8) | -4.26 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#52) | 0.445 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 32.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 36.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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