Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -11.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -8.8 (-2.8) | 159.2 (-1.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -9.6 (-3.6) | 160.7 (-2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -9.5 (-3.5) | 159.2 (-1.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.7 (-3.7) | 160.5 (-2.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 10-3 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#81) | -0.6 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#112) | -0.35 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#123) | 0.03 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#84) | 0.505 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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