Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -140 UNI +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -10.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -7.5 (-5.5) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -8.3 (-6.3) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -7.6 (-5.6) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -8.2 (-6.2) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#32) | 1.2 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#31) | -0.43 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#35) | 0.05 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#40) | 0.486 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 82.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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