Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -28.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | LSU -10000 LIP +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +35 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -32.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -27.6 (+7.4) | 146.1 (+8.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -25.0 (+10.0) | 142.5 (+12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -31.5 (+3.5) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -31.5 (+3.5) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 22.0 (#2) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#2) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.67 (#3) | -1.06 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.699 (#3) | 0.471 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 5.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.