Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -0.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.9 (-11.9) | 131.0 (-6.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.0 (-13.0) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.8 (-12.8) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.8 (-12.8) | 132.8 (-7.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#292) | -4.0 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#230) | -0.55 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#238) | -0.53 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#273) | 0.476 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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