Betting Lines
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | UTEP -110 BRAD -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -1.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.0 (-6.0) | 132.8 (+6.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.3 (-5.7) | 134.6 (+4.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.6 (-5.4) | 136.0 (+3.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -0.9 (-6.1) | 135.5 (+3.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | BRAD 63 – 59 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#168) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#141) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#143) | -1.25 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#211) | 0.444 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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