Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -188 UTEP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -6.1 (-2.1) | 145.1 (-23.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.5 (-2.5) | 143.4 (-21.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -6.1 (-2.1) | 145.3 (-23.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -4.7 (-0.7) | 145.5 (-23.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | BRAD 73 – 66 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#33) | -0.6 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#5) | 1.10 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.47 (#8) | 1.28 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.827 (#2) | 0.612 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 38.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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