Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -900 KENN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -3.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -8.2 (+5.8) | 151.2 (+10.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -2.5 (+11.5) | 156.0 (+6.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -3.9 (+10.1) | 155.0 (+7.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.2 (+9.8) | 153.4 (+8.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#239) | -2.7 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#244) | -1.80 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#224) | -2.09 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#251) | 0.465 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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