Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +28 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -10.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -12.6 (+15.4) | 153.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -8.9 (+19.1) | 156.7 (-10.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -9.3 (+18.7) | 155.2 (-9.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -9.2 (+18.8) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#171) | -5.8 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#94) | -0.16 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#104) | -0.42 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#80) | 0.507 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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