Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -1.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -1.7 (-3.7) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -2.5 (-4.5) | 141.7 (+20.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -2.2 (-4.2) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -1.6 (-3.6) | 144.0 (+18.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | COFC 75 – 60 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#225) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#232) | 0.59 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#236) | 0.20 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#212) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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