Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -250 ODU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.7 (+8.3) | 148.5 (-13.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -6.1 (+8.9) | 146.2 (-11.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.8 (+7.2) | 150.3 (-15.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.4 (+7.6) | 149.9 (-14.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | COFC 82 – 80 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 11-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#92) | 3.2 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#23) | 0.61 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#26) | 0.93 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.730 (#2) | 0.562 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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