Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -16.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -11.8 (-1.8) | 137.8 (+24.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -11.8 (-1.8) | 138.4 (+23.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -13.5 (-3.5) | 138.1 (+23.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -13.2 (-3.2) | 138.4 (+23.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 9-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#233) | -15.4 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#134) | -2.11 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#130) | -3.59 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.376 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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