Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -38.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +42 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -37.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -26.9 (+15.1) | 150.3 (+7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -24.5 (+17.5) | 153.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -34.4 (+7.6) | 151.7 (+6.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -32.5 (+9.5) | 153.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | UAB 106 – 55 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#39) | -22.6 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#61) | -2.93 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#58) | -4.16 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.397 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 39.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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