Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -4000 CHST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +37 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -21.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -20.7 (+16.3) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -17.4 (+19.6) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -18.3 (+18.7) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -19.0 (+18.0) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2020 | DRKE 111 – 67 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#88) | -11.4 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#123) | -1.74 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#115) | -2.42 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#137) | 0.390 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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