Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -31.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +44 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -39.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+44.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -23.5 (+20.5) | 144.6 (+33.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -25.0 (+19.0) | 140.9 (+37.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -36.0 (+8.0) | 139.5 (+38.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -37.4 (+6.6) | 141.1 (+36.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | DRKE 87 – 50 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 0-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 0-0 |
| Home | 14-1 | 0-0 |
| Away | 9-2 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 55.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 88.7 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#39) | -23.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#45) | -3.98 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#57) | -6.12 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#82) | 0.279 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 16.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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