Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -4.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.7 (-16.7) | 133.1 (-13.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.6 (-16.6) | 132.5 (-12.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.4 (-17.4) | 133.1 (-13.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.4 (-16.4) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -9.2 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#348) | -1.85 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.00 (#350) | -2.47 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.326 (#352) | 0.401 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.