Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +35 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UK -15.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -15.8 (+19.2) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -14.4 (+20.6) | 148.8 (+6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -14.7 (+20.3) | 149.1 (+5.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -13.1 (+21.9) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | UK 87 – 68 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#24) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#56) | 0.39 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#35) | 0.94 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#116) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 45.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 12.0% |
Game Analysis
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