Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | UK -6500 WKU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UK -31.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -21.5 (-2.5) | 161.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -22.5 (-3.5) | 155.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -26.8 (-7.8) | 155.3 (-0.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -24.8 (-5.8) | 157.9 (-2.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | UK 95 – 60 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 23.3 (#3) | -1.8 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#20) | -0.52 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.40 (#19) | -0.06 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#23) | 0.472 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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