If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Williams Arena · December 22, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MINN -17.0 Away covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual MINN +16 128 Won
Massey MINN -23.2 (-7.2)
Massey Totals 131.9 (-3.9)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML MINN -18.5 (-2.5) 134.0 (-6.0) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML MINN -18.5 (-2.5) 138.3 (-10.3) 91%
Baseline ML MINN -19.6 (-3.6) 136.6 (-8.6) 90%
Baseline Plus ML MINN -18.8 (-2.8) 136.2 (-8.2) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2025 MINN 7265 GB
Nov 26, 2020 MINN 9969 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN GB
Overall 13-17 5-25
Conference 4-16 4-16
Home 8-7 4-9
Away 3-9 1-13
Neutral 2-1 0-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 61.2
Avg Pts Against 69.2 69.7
Massey 9.0 (#49) -9.7 (#323)
Bradley-Terry 3.31 (#12) -3.03 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.41 (#13) -4.19 (#344)
RPI 0.668 (#10) 0.388 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN GB
FG% 46.4% 39.9%
3PT% 36.4% 25.8%
REB / G 34.0 30.2
OREB / G 5.7 8.6
AST / TO 1.25 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.2% 45.0%
TOV% 14.9% 18.9%
ORB% 16.9% 25.5%
FT Rate 19.6% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 16.8%
DRB% 74.7% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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