We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Williams Arena · November 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MINN -25.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money MINN -20000 / GB +3000
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual MINN +7 137 Won
Massey MINN -24.8 (-17.8)
Massey Totals 142.3 (-5.3)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML MINN -21.3 (-14.3) 135.8 (+1.2) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML MINN -21.9 (-14.9) 138.3 (-1.3) 90%
Baseline ML MINN -25.7 (-18.7) 140.9 (-3.9) 90%
Baseline Plus ML MINN -26.7 (-19.7) 138.8 (-1.8) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2021 MINN 7256 GB
Nov 26, 2020 MINN 9969 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN GB
Overall 15-18 18-15
Conference 8-12 12-8
Home 13-4 10-4
Away 2-9 6-9
Neutral 0-5 2-2
Last 5 2-1 0-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 73.9
Avg Pts Against 68.5 75.9
Massey 8.8 (#52) -8.1 (#305)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#161) -1.40 (#283)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.48 (#160) -2.50 (#307)
RPI 0.468 (#219) 0.428 (#267)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN GB
FG% 48.5% 40.3%
3PT% 28.3% 30.8%
REB / G 43.0 29.7
OREB / G 15.0 6.3
AST / TO 1.51 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 47.8%
TOV% 18.4% 17.1%
ORB% 44.6% 18.3%
FT Rate 36.1% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 61.5%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 9.6%
DRB% 77.8% 76.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 32.7%

Game Analysis

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