Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -9.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -5.5 (+8.5) | 139.6 (-10.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -8.8 (+11.8) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -7.7 (+10.7) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -7.8 (+10.8) | 141.6 (-12.6) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#123) | 12.3 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#126) | 3.62 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#125) | 4.52 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#112) | 0.616 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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