Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -4.1 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.5 (-13.5) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -2.2 (-13.8) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -2.2 (-13.8) | 140.4 (-20.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.4 (-13.6) | 142.0 (-22.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | 6.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#189) | 1.67 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#191) | 2.09 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#209) | 0.578 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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