Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +32 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -17.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -17.1 (+14.9) | 145.4 (-21.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -16.2 (+15.8) | 144.0 (-20.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.5 (+16.5) | 145.4 (-21.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -16.3 (+15.7) | 145.2 (-21.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2022 | TTU 77 – 70 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#27) | -0.0 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#45) | 0.31 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#38) | -0.00 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 41.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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