Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GT -7.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -5.0 (+5.0) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -5.7 (+4.3) | 139.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -5.2 (+4.8) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -5.3 (+4.7) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | GT 59 – 57 GAST |
| Nov 26, 2020 | GAST 123 – 120 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-10 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#175) | -3.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | 0.08 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#168) | 0.24 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#201) | 0.509 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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