Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +16 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -8.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -6.8 (+9.2) | 152.5 (+27.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -5.7 (+10.3) | 151.6 (+28.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -7.4 (+8.6) | 153.8 (+26.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -7.6 (+8.4) | 152.7 (+27.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 18, 2023 | CLT 65 – 56 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#208) | -5.0 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | -0.59 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#179) | -0.89 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#136) | 0.461 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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