Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
Ocean Center (Neutral) · March 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -5.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money WCU +240 / CLT -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual CLT +9 121 Lost
Massey CLT -7.8 (-1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 129.8 (-8.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -7.0 (-2.0) 134.9 (-13.9) 25% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -6.2 (-2.8) 130.7 (-9.7) 28% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -6.9 (-2.1) 133.1 (-12.1) 24% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -6.3 (-2.7) 134.4 (-13.4) 26% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2021 CLT 98 – 82 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU CLT
Overall 18-16 22-14
Conference 10-8 9-11
Home 9-5 11-4
Away 6-9 5-8
Neutral 3-2 6-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 W4
Avg Pts For 70.5 66.9
Avg Pts Against 72.7 62.6
Massey -4.0 (#237) 3.7 (#113)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#226) 0.45 (#129)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#232) 0.67 (#119)
RPI 0.479 (#211) 0.498 (#173)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU CLT
FG% 42.1% 47.1%
3PT% 33.6% 37.6%
REB / G 34.9 29.9
OREB / G 9.3 6.7
AST / TO 1.11 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 54.8%
TOV% 15.8% 17.3%
ORB% 25.8% 22.9%
FT Rate 24.5% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 17.6%
DRB% 74.5% 76.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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