Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -7.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.8 (+2.2) | 147.1 (+7.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -9.4 (+1.6) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -8.9 (+2.1) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.0 (+3.0) | 146.5 (+8.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | IONA 89 – 66 DEL |
| Nov 13, 2024 | DEL 64 – 58 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#56) | 0.6 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#28) | 0.98 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#29) | 1.45 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#21) | 0.536 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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