Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +110 IONA -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +23 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -0.1 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.0 (-24.0) | 151.8 (+3.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.5 (-23.5) | 149.4 (+5.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -0.2 (-23.2) | 150.6 (+4.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.4 (-23.4) | 151.4 (+3.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | DEL 64 – 58 IONA |
| Dec 22, 2021 | IONA 83 – 72 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#242) | 0.6 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#290) | 0.46 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#284) | 0.51 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#310) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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