Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | SC -650 ARMY +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +30 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | SC -12.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+47.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -10.2 (+19.8) | 139.1 (+40.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -10.3 (+19.7) | 137.4 (+42.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -11.0 (+19.0) | 136.9 (+43.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -10.6 (+19.4) | 138.4 (+41.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#119) | -5.7 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#83) | -1.06 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#101) | -1.76 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#53) | 0.449 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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