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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
23–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
25 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+27.9 | 138.2 | 91% | 57–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.3 | 151.6 | 91% | 59–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+25.1 | 139.1 | 90% | 51–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 140.6 | 59% | 54–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.1 | 149.6 | 78% | 79–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 137.3 | 84% | 72–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 145.9 | 77% | 55–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.7 | 145.5 | 24% | 99–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 142.5 | 34% | 80–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.7 | 146.1 | 85% | 57–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.5 | 147.9 | 62% | 82–73 | ✗ |
|
|
-9.9 | 147.9 | 24% | 80–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.3 | 143.7 | 89% | 52–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.7 | 151.8 | 91% | 49–95 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.5 | 143.4 | 27% | 84–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.4 | 139.9 | 89% | 70–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.4 | 136.7 | 86% | 67–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 121.7 | 66% | 55–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.2 | 151.9 | 79% | 64–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.5 | 138.8 | 24% | 87–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.0 | 139.2 | 82% | 75–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.9 | 128.1 | 61% | 57–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.4 | 153.2 | 37% | 75–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.8 | 117.9 | 13% | 49–47 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.5 | 146.6 | 91% | 61–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.