Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -35.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | GONZ -10000 NAU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +46 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -31.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -26.7 (+19.3) | 151.8 (-7.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -23.7 (+22.3) | 150.0 (-6.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -28.5 (+17.5) | 149.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -28.0 (+18.0) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2020 | GONZ 88 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 5-15 |
| Home | 16-0 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-1 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#6) | -7.4 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#23) | -1.18 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#19) | -1.34 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#43) | 0.435 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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